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NFL picks, predictions for Week 11: Packers edge Colts; Browns clip Eagles; Patriots begin playoff push

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Week 11 of the NFL season features five games between teams with winning records.  

That action starts with the “Thursday Night Football” showdown between the Cardinals and Seahawks — a pair of 6-3 teams in the super-competitive NFC West.  

On Sunday, the Titans and Ravens meet in a battle of 6-3 team in the 1 p.m. ET slot. The Packers (7-2) and Colts (6-3) square off in the 4:25 p.m. ET. The Sunday Night Football matchup features the Chiefs (8-1) and Raiders (6-3), and the Monday Night Football matchup pits the Rams (6-3) against the Buccaneers (7-3).  

It’s a great schedule and a chance to improve on our NFL pick ’em record.  

  • Last Week: 7-7   
  • Season: 57-39

With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 11:  

NFL POWER RANKINGS:
Ravens, Seahawks in a free fall; Kyler Murray’s Cardinals enter top 10

(Getty Images)

NFL picks, predictions for Week 11

  • Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-3)   

Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX/NFL Network

The Cardinals won a 37-34 thriller in the first meeting and are coming off an emotional Hail Mary victory against the Bills. Russell Wilson needs to clean up the turnovers after throwing for seven interceptions the last four weeks – a stretch that includes three losses. Seattle gets the rematch, but it’s close.  

Pick: Seahawks 30, Cardinals 24  

  • Philadelphia Eagles at Cleveland Browns (-3.5)   

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX  

The Browns have dealt with ugly weather in their last two games, but the return of Nick Chubb ignited the running game. Chubb and Kareem Hunt works against the Eagles’ 26th-ranked run defense, even if Carson Wentz — the quarterback Philadelphia traded Cleveland to move up in the 2016 NFL Draft for — makes it interesting.  

Pick: Browns 24, Eagles 21  

  • Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (-6.5)  

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX  

Drew Brees’ status will be monitored during the week, and this remains a heated NFC South rivalry. The Falcons rank 31st against the pass. It’s another chance for Alvin Kamara – who has 648 receiving yards this season – to shine. New Orleans wins a tight one.  

Pick: Saints 31, Falcons 28

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  • Cincinnati Bengals at Washington Football Team (-1)   

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS 

Alex Smith – a former No. 1 pick – has back-to-back 300-yard games, but Washington lost by a field goal both times. This will be a showcase for the top two picks in last year’s draft with Joe Burrow and Chase Young. Burrow leads a last-minute victory for Cincinnati.  

Pick: Bengals 26, Washington 23  

  • New England Patriots at Houston (-1.5)  

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS 

Don’t look now, but the Patriots have won back-to-back games and could make a second-half AFC playoff push. Cam Newton hasn’t thrown an interception in three games, and if that trend continues New England will stay in the hunt.  

Pick: Patriots 23, Texans 19  

  • Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers (-2)   

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX 

Which trend do you take with the Lions? Detroit is 2-4 ATS as an underdog, but they are 3-2 S/U in one-score games. Teddy Bridgewater’s status is uncertain, and we will trust the Lions to get back to .500.  

Pick: Lions 27, Panthers 24  

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  • Pittsburgh Steelers (-10) at Jacksonville Jaguars 

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS  

The Jaguars are double-digit underdogs for the second straight week, but the difference will be an aggressive Steelers’ defense that will force Jake Luton into turnovers. Pittsburgh improves to 10-0 behind Ben Roethlisberger – who continues to spread the wealth to a talented group of receivers.  

Pick: Steelers 31, Jaguars 19  

  • Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens (-7)  

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS 

This is the toughest game on the board to pick. The Titans throttled the Ravens in the AFC divisional playoffs last season behind Derrick Henry, and the Ravens have to answer after a Sunday Night Football flop against the Patriots. Lamar Jackson delivers here, but it won’t be easy.  

Pick: Ravens 26, Titans 23  

  • Miami Dolphins (-3) at Denver Broncos  

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS  

The Dolphins have the second-longest winning streak in the NFL at five games, and Tua Tagovailoa is playing efficient, mistake-free football. He gives Broncos general manager John Elway another glimpse at what a true franchise quarterback can do.   

Pick: Dolphins 27, Broncos 23  

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  • New York Jets at Los Angeles Chargers (-8.5)   

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS  

The Chargers are struck in a three-game losing streak, and they have given up 29 points or more in six straight games. If the Jets were going to get that first victory, then this might be the spot. Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert won’t let it happen.  

Pick: Chargers 31, Jets 23 

  • Green Bay Packers at Indianapolis Colts (-1.5)  

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX 

The Packers opened as the favorites, but the line shifted to Indianapolis. Philip Rivers is 1-3 as a starter against the Packers, but he averages 372 yards per game in those contests. Aaron Rodgers matches that in a fourth-quarter thriller.  

Pick: Packers 33, Colts 27  

  • Dallas Cowboys at Minnesota Vikings (-7.5)  

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX 

The Cowboys had a bye week to figure out the latest quarterback plan, but the bigger issue will be slowing down Dalvin Cook on the road. Minnesota continues to push back into the NFC playoff picture with yet another victory.  

Pick: Vikings 29, Cowboys 20  

(Getty Images)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (-7) at Las Vegas Raiders  

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC  

The Chiefs were double-digit favorites ahead of the Oct. 10 matchup, and the Raiders sprung a 40-32 upset. Las Vegas is playing like a playoff team, but the Chiefs learned their lesson. Kansas City won’t forget about the running game this time around.   

Pick: Chiefs 34, Raiders 26  

  • Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5)  

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN   

The Rams have been favored in their last six games, so it’s rare chance to play underdog. Tampa Bay is 5-0 when it scores 30 points or more, so Los Angeles’ best bet would be if this doesn’t turn into a shootout.  

Pick: Buccaneers 30, Rams 27  

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